Global warming and soybean yield: understanding the effects of climate change
GLOBAL WARMING AND SOYBEAN YIELD: UNDERSTANDING THE EFFECTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
52 / 3
Keywords:
Abiotic stress, Biotic stress, Climate change, Crop yields, Management, SoybeanAbstract
Soybean is a crucial crop for global food security, providing essential nutrients for human consumption, animal feed and biofuel production. However, the challenges posed by climate change threaten the stability and sustainability of soybean production. Rising global temperatures, projected to increase by 2.0 to 6.4 °C, along with a predicted 59 cm rise in sea levels by the end of the 21st century, are contributing to more frequent heat waves, droughts, floods, and unpredictable precipitation patterns. These changes are having a profound impact on agricultural systems, with significant repercussions for crop yields and food security worldwide. In particular, climate change is exacerbating the vulnerabilities of soybean farming. Increasing temperatures and shifting rainfall patterns, along with the increased frequency of extreme weather events, are disrupting the growth and productivity of soybean crop. Additionally, the rising pressure from pests and diseases, which thrive in warmer conditions, further compromises soybean yield and quality. This review explores recent research on the direct and indirect impacts of climate change on soybean production, the physiological responses of the crop to these stressors, and the mitigation strategies being developed to address these challenges. A deeper understanding of these factors is critical for adapting soybean farming practices to ensure resilience, enhance productivity, and safeguard food security in the face of a changing climate.
Downloads
References
Ainsworth EA and Long SP 2005. What have we learned from 15 years of free-air CO2 enrichment (FACE)? A meta-analytic review of the impacts of elevated CO2 on crop yield, physiology, and food quality. New Phytologist, 165(2): 351-372. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1469-8137.2004.01224.x
Asseng S, Ewert F, Martre P, Rötter RP, Lobell DB and Cammarano D 2015. Rising temperatures reduce global wheat production. Nature Climate Change, 5(2): 143-147. https://doi.org/ 10.1038/nclimate2470.
Baker JT, Allen Jr LH, Boote KJ, Jones P and Jones JW 1989. Response of soybean to air temperature and carbon dioxide concentration. Crop Science, 29(1): 98-105. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2135/cropsci1989.0011183X002900010024x
BBC News 2007. How climate change hits India's poor. February 1, 2007, Retrieved June 10, 2021, from https://www.bbc.com.
Beurdeley M, Bietz F, Li J, Thomas S, Stoddard T, Juillerat A and Silva GH 2013. Compact designer TALENs for efficient genome engineering. Nature Communications, 4(1): 1762. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms2782
Bisht DS, Bhatia V and Bhattacharya R 2019. Improving plant-resistance to insect-pests and pathogens: The new opportunities through targeted genome editing. Seminars in Cell & Developmental Biology, 96: 65-76. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.semcdb.2019.04.008
Boyer JS 1982. Plant productivity and environment. Science, 218(4571): 443-448. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1126/science.218.4571.443
Canci H and C Toker 2009a. Evaluation of yield criteria for drought and heat resistance in chickpea (Cicer arietinum L.). Journal of Agronomy and Crop Science, 195: 47-54. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1439-037X.2008.00345.x
Canci H and C Toker 2009b. Evaluation of annual wild Cicer species for drought and heat resistance under field conditions. Genetic Resources and Crop Evolution, 56: 1-6. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10722-008-9335-9
Carbon Brief 2019. The Carbon Brief Profile: India. Retrieved September 25, 2019, from https://www.carbonbrief.org
Caulfield F and Bunce JA 1994. Elevated atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration affects interactions between Spodoptera exigua (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae) larvae and two host plant species outdoors. Environmental Entomology, 23(5): 999-1005. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/ee/23.4.999
Ceccarelli S, Grando S, Maatougui M, Michael M, Slash M, Haghparast R and Nachit M 2010. Plant breeding and climate changes. The Journal of Agricultural Science, 148(6): 627-637. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/S0021859610000651
Centritto M, Loreto F and Chartzoulakis K 2003. The use of low (CO2) to estimate diffusional and non-diffusional limitations of photosynthetic capacity of salt-stressed olive saplings. Plant, Cell and Environment, 26: 585-594. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-3040.2003.00993.x
Challinor AJ 2014. A meta-analysis of crop yield response to climate change. Nature Climate Change, 4(4): 287-291. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2153
Chapman SC, Chakraborty S, Dreccer MF and Howden SM 2012. Plant adaptation to climate change-Opportunities and priorities in breeding. Crop and Pasture Science, 63(3): 251-268. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1071/CP11303
Climate Change Performance Index. 2022. Retrieved from https://www.climate-performance.org.
Coleman J 2024. Chance of heatwaves in India rising with climate change. Nature. https://doi.org/ 10.1038/d41586-024-01577-5. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-024-01577-5
Dornbos Jr DL and Mullen RE 1991. Influence of stress during soybean seed fill on seed weight, germination, and seedling growth rate. Canadian Journal of Plant Science, 71(2): 373-383. DOI: https://doi.org/10.4141/cjps91-052
Eckstein D, Künzel V and Schäfer L 2021. Global Climate Risk Index 2021. German Watch. https://germanwatch.org.
Fand BB, Kamble AL and Kumar M 2012. Will climate change pose serious threat to crop pest management: A critical review. International Journal of Scientific Research, 2: 1-14.
FAO 2020. Climate related transboundary pests and diseases. Retrieved December 19, 2020, from http://www.fao.org/3/a-ai785e.pdf.
FAO 2022. Food and Agricultural Organization of the United Nations statistical database (Technical Report). FAO.https://www.fao.org.
Frieler K, Schauberger B, Arneth A, Balkovic J, Chryssanthacopoulos J and Deryng D 2017. Understanding the weather signal in national crop-yield variability. Earth's Future, 5: 605-616. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/2016EF000525
Gill SS and Tuteja N 2010. Reactive oxygen species and antioxidant machinery in abiotic stress tolerance in crop plants. Plant Physiology and Biochemistry, 48(12): 909-930. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.plaphy.2010.08.016
Girotti AW 1990. Photodynamic lipid peroxidation in biological systems. Photochemistry and Photobiology, 51(4): 497-509. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1751-1097.1990.tb01744.x
Government of India 2018. India Second Biennial Update Report to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. Retrieved from https://unfccc.int.
Government of India 2021. India: Third Biennial Update Report to The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change [PDF]. Retrieved from https://unfccc.int.
Gulluoglu L, Arioglu H and Arslan M 2006. Effect of some plant growth regulators and nutrient complexes on above-ground biomass and seed yield of some soybean grown under heat stressed environment. Journal of Agronomy, 5(2):126-130. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3923/ja.2006.126.130
Hafeez M, Liu S, Jan S, Shi L, Fernández-Grandon GM, Gulzar A and Wang M 2019. Knock-down of gossypol-inducing cytochrome P450 genes reduced deltamethrin sensitivity in Spodoptera exigua (Hübner). International Journal of Molecular Sciences, 20(9): 2248. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/ijms20092248
Hamerlynck EP, Huxman TE, Loik ME and Smith SD 2000. Effects of extreme high temperature, drought and elevated CO2 on photosynthesis of the mojave desert evergreen shrub, Larrea tridentata. Plant Ecology, 148: 183-193. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1009896111405
Hare JD 1992. Effects of plant variation on herbivore-natural enemy interactions. In: RS. Fritz and EL Simms (Eds.), Plant Resistance to Herbivores and Pathogens: Ecology, Evolution, and Genetics (pp. 278-298). University of Chicago Press. ISBN 9780226265544.
Hartman GL, West ED and Herman TK 2011. Crops that feed the World 2. Soybean-Worldwide production, use, and constraints caused by pathogens and pests. Food Security, 3(1): 5-17. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12571-010-0108-x
Hayat S, Hayat Q, Alyemeni MN, Wani AS, Pichtel J and Ahmad A 2012. Role of proline under changing environments: a review. Plant Signaling and Behavior, 7(11): 1456-1466. DOI: https://doi.org/10.4161/psb.21949
Iizumi T and Ramankutty N 2016. Changes in yield variability of major crops for 1981-2010 explained by climate change. Environmental Research Letters, 11(3): 034003. https://doi.org/10.1088/ 1748-9326/11/3/034003. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/034003
In: A.G. Norman (Editor), Soybean Physiology, Agronomy and Utilization. Academic, New York, pp. 77-118.
International Energy Agency (IEA). (2024, March). CO2 Emissions in 2023 - Analysis. Retrieved March 22, 2024, from https://www.iea.org.
Jumrani K, Bhatia VS and Pandey GP 2017. Impact of elevated temperatures on specific leaf weight, stomatal density, photosynthesis and chlorophyll fluorescence in soybean. Photosynthesis Research, 131: 333-350. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11120-016-0326-y. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11120-016-0326-y
Jumrani K and Bhatia VS 2018. Impact of combined stress of high temperature and water deficit on growth and seed yield of soybean. Physiology and Molecular Biology of Plants, 24(1): 37-50. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12298-017-0480-5
Kocmánková E, Trnka M, Juroch J, Dubrovský M, Semerádová D, Možný M, Žalud Z, Pokorný R and Lebeda A 2010. Impact of climate change on the occurrence and activity of harmful organisms. Plant Protection Science, 45(S1): S48-S52. DOI: https://doi.org/10.17221/2835-PPS
Koutroumpa FA, Monsempes C, François MC, de Cian A, Royer C, Concordet JP and Jacquin-Joly E 2016. Heritable genome editing with CRISPR/Cas9 induces anosmia in a crop pest moth. Scientific Reports, 6(1): 29620. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/srep29620
Lal R, Follett RF, Kimble J and Cole CV 1999. Managing US cropland to sequester carbon in soil. Journal of Soil and Water Conservation, 54(1): 374-381. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/00224561.1999.12457251
Larsson MC, Domingos AI, Jones WD, Chiappe ME, Amrein H and Vosshall LB 2004. Or83b encodes a broadly expressed odorant receptor essential for Drosophila olfaction. Neuron, 43(5): 703-714. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.neuron.2004.08.019
Lea PJ and Azevedo RA 2007. Nitrogen Use Efficiency. 2. Amino Acid Metabolism. Annals of Applied Biology, 151: 269-275. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1744-7348.2007.00200.x
Leakey ADB 2009. Elevated CO2 effects on plant carbon, nitrogen, and water relations. Nature Climate Change, 3(3): 283-292.
Lesk C, Rowhani P and Raman kutty N 2016. Influence of extreme weather disasters on global crop production. Nature, 529(7584): 84-87. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/nature16467
Liu X, Jin J, Wang G and Herbert SJ 2008. Soybean yield physiology and development of high-yielding practices in Northeast China. Field Crops Research, 105(3): 157-171. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fcr.2007.09.003
Lobell DB and Field CB 2007. Global scale climate-crop yield relationships and the impacts of recent warming. Environmental Research Letters, 2: 014002. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/2/1/014002. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/2/1/014002
Long SP 2006. Food security and the global crop production. Global Change Biology, 12(5): 687-701.
Lugan R, Niogret MF, Leport L, Guégan JP, Larher FR, Savouré A and Bouchereau A 2010. Metabolome and water homeostasis analysis of Thellungiella salsuginea suggests that dehydration tolerance is a key response to osmotic stress in this halophyte. The Plant Journal, 64(2): 215-229. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-313X.2010.04323.x
LuoY 2017. Effects of elevated CO2 on soybean growth and yield. Journal of Experimental Botany, 68(11): 2987-2999.
McFarlane GR, Whitelaw CBA and Lillico SG 2018. CRISPR-based gene drives for pest control. Trends in Biotechnology, 36(2): 130-133. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tibtech.2017.10.001
Miller GAD, Suzuki N, Ciftci?Yilmaz Sultan and Mittler RON 2010. Reactive oxygen species homeostasis and signalling during drought and salinity stresses. Plant, Cell and Environment, 33(4): 453-467. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-3040.2009.02041.x
Ministry of Environment, Forest and Climate Change, Government of India. 2018. Greenhouse gas emissions in India (2018, September). https://www.moefcc.gov.in.
Monneveux P, Pastenes C and Reynolds MP 2003. Limitations to photosynthesis under light and heat stress in three high-yielding wheat genotypes. Journal of Plant Physiology, 160: 657-666. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1078/0176-1617-00772
Moore FC and Lobell DB 2015. The fingerprint of climate trends on European crop yields. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 112(9): 2970-2975. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1409606112
Oak MD, Jaybhay SA, Idhol BD, Suresha PG, Vineet K, Anita R, Waghmare BN and Salunkhe DH 2024. Double Null (Kunitz Trypsin Inhibitor and Lipoxygenase-2 Gene Free) soybean genotype: MACSNRC 1898. Journal of Oilseeds Research, 41(2): 168-169. DOI: https://doi.org/10.56739/3gdsfe42
Oukarroum A, Madidi SE, Schansker G and Strasser RJ 2007. Probing the responses of barley cultivars (Hordeum vulgare L.) by chlorophyll a fluorescence OLKJIP under drought stress and rewatering. Environmental and Experimental Botany, 60: 438-446. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envexpbot.2007.01.002
Pal A, Kumari V, Thakur R and Rana P 2024. Genetic variability and correlation studies in advanced breeding lines of soybean [Glycine max (L.) Merrill]. Journal of Oilseeds Research, 41(1): 10-17. DOI: https://doi.org/10.56739/5h5sbj73
Pawar P, Archana A, Abhishek S, Duraimurugan P, Pooja K and Jarpla M 2024. A comprehensive review on host plant resistance of wonder crop, soybean (Glycine max) against whitefly (Bemisia tabaci). Journal of Oilseeds Research, 41(1): 1-9. DOI: https://doi.org/10.56739/4m4ssm64
Piao S, Ciais P and Friedlingstein P 2008. Net carbon dioxide losses of northern ecosystems in response to autumn warming. Nature, 451: 49-52. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature06444. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/nature06444
Prakash A, Rao J, Mukherjee AK, Berliner J, Pokhare SS, Adak T, Munda S and Shashank PR 2014. Climate change: Impact on crop pests. Applied Zoologists Research Association (AZRA), Central Rice Research Institute:Odisha, India. ISBN 81-900947-2-7.
Premachandra GS, Saneoka H, Fujita K and Ogata S 1992. Leaf water relations, osmotic adjustment, cell membrane stability, epicuticular wax load and growth as affected by increasing water deficits in sorghum. Journal of Experimental Botany, 43: 1569-1576. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/jxb/43.12.1569
Pu J, Wang Z and Chung H 2020. Climate change and the genetics of insecticide resistance. Pest Management Science, 76(3): 846-852. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/ps.5700
Puteh AB, ThuZar M, Mondal MMA, Abdullah AP and Halim MRA 2013. Soybean [Glycine max (L.) Merrill] seed yield response to high temperature stress during reproductive growth stages. Australian Journal of Crop Science, 7(10): 1472-1479.
Ratnaparkhe MB, Raghuvanshi R, Nataraj V, Maranna S, Chandra S, Kumawat G and Rajora OP 2024. Population genomics of soybean. In: OP Rajora (Ed.), Population Genomics: Crop Plants (pp. 573-605). Cham: Springer Nature Switzerland. https://doi.org/10.1007/13836_2024_109. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/13836_2024_109
Ray DK, Gerber JS, Macdonald GK and West PC 2015. Climate variation explains a third of global crop yield variability. Nature Communications, 6: 1-9. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms6989
Ray DK, West PC, Clark M, Gerber JS, Prishchepov AV and Chatterjee S 2019. Climate change has likely already affected global food production. PLoS One, 14(5): 1-18. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0217148
Razzaq A, Saleem F, Kanwal M, Mustafa G, Yousaf S, Imran Arshad HM and Joyia FA 2019. Modern trends in plant genome editing: an inclusive review of the CRISPR/Cas9 toolbox. International Journal of Molecular Sciences, 20(16): 4045. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/ijms20164045
Ritchie JT and NeSmith DS 1991. Temperature and soil water effects on soybean yield. Field Crops Research, 27(3): 285-297.
Sairam RK, Deshmukh PS and Saxena DC 1998. Role of antioxidant systems in wheat genotypes tolerance to water stress. Biologia Plantarum, 41: 387-394. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1001898310321
Scandalios JG 1993. Oxygen stress and superoxide dismutases. Plant Physiology, 101(1): 7. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1104/pp.101.1.7
Seddigh M and Jolliff GD 1984. Physiological responses of field? grown soybean leaves to increased reproductive load induced by elevated night temperatures. Crop Science, 24(5): 952-957. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2135/cropsci1984.0011183X002400050031x
Seneviratne SI 2012. Changes in climate extremes and their impact on the agricultural sector. Nature Climate Change, 2(3): 120-128.
Shah NH and Paulsen GM 2003. Interaction of drought and high temperature on photosynthesis and grain-filling of wheat. Plant and Soil, 257: 219-226. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1026237816578
Sharma V 2020. Average temperature over India projected to rise by 4.4 degrees Celsius: Govt report on the impact of climate change in the country. Tribune India. Retrieved November 30, 2020, from https://www.tribuneindia.com.
Shrestha S 2019. Effects of climate change in agricultural insect pest. Acta Scientific Agriculture, 3(12): 74-80. DOI: https://doi.org/10.31080/ASAG.2019.03.0727
Sinclair TR and Rawlins SL 1993. Inter? seasonal variation in soybean and maize yields under global environmental change. Agronomy Journal, 85(2): 406-409. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2134/agronj1993.00021962008500020043x
Sionit N, Strain BR and Flint EP 1987. Interaction of temperature and CO2 enrichment on soybean: Growth and dry matter partitioning. Canadian Journal of Plant Science, 67(1): 59-67. DOI: https://doi.org/10.4141/cjps87-007
Sun D, Guo Z, Liu Y and Zhang Y 2017. Progress and prospects of CRISPR/Cas systems in insects and other arthropods. Frontiers in Physiology, 8: 608. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3389/fphys.2017.00608
Taub DR, Seemann JR and Coleman JS 2000. Growth in elevated CO2 protects photosynthesis against high? temperature damage. Plant, Cell & Environment, 23(6): 649-656. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-3040.2000.00574.x
Thanacharoenchanaphas K and Rugchati O 2011. Simulation of climate variability for assessing impacts on yield and genetic change of Thai soybean. Genetics, 21: 4-5.
The Leading Solar Magazine in India. (2021, July 26). By 2030, cut per capita emission to global average: India to G20. Retrieved September 17, 2021. https://solarmagazine.in
Times of India (2007, February 3). Warmer Tibet can see Brahmaputra flood Assam | India News. Retrieved March 11, 2021. https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com
Tiwari SP and Tiwari SP 2023. The Indian soybean revolution -Ascertaining the determinants and the tipping point. Journal of Oilseeds Research, 40(1 & 2): 1-12. DOI: https://doi.org/10.56739/30ffp555
Tubiello FN, J-F Soussana, SM Howden and W Easterling 2007: Crop and pasture response to climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy the Sciences, 104:19686-19690. doi:10.1073/pnas.0701728104. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0701728104
Ullah A, Bano A and Khan N 2021. Climate change and salinity effects on crops and chemical communication between plants and plant growth-promoting microorganisms under stress. Frontiers in Sustainable Food System, 5: 618092. doi:10.3389/fsufs.2021.618092. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3389/fsufs.2021.618092
United Nations Environment Programme 2019. Emissions Gap Report 2019. Archived from https://www.unep.org.
Vogel E, Donat MG, Alexander LV, Meinshausen M, Ray DK and Karoly D 2019. The effects of climate extremes on global agricultural yields. Environmental Research Letters, 14(5): 054010. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab154b
Wang J, Zhang H, Wang H, Zhao S, Zuo Y, Yang Y and Wu Y 2016. Functional validation of cadherin as a receptor of Bt toxin Cry1Ac in Helicoverpa armigera utilizing the CRISPR/Cas9 system. Insect Biochemistry and Molecular Biology, 76: 11-17. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ibmb.2016.06.008
Wheeler T and Von Braun J 2013. Climate change impacts on global food security. Science, 341: 508-513. http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.1239402. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1239402
Whigham D K and Minor H C 1978. Agronomic characteristics and environmental stress. In: AG Norman (Ed.), Soybean Physiology, Agronomy, and Utilization (pp. 77-118). New York: Academic Press. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-521160-4.50009-8
Wu K, Shirk PD, Taylor CE, Furlong RB, Shirk BD, Pinheiro DH and Siegfried BD 2018. CRISPR/Cas9 mediated knockout of the abdominal-A homeotic gene in fall armyworm moth (Spodoptera frugiperda). PLoS One, 13(12): e0208647. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0208647
Zampieri M, Ceglar A, Dentener F and Toreti A 2017. Wheat yield loss attributable to heat waves, drought, and water excess at the global, national, and subnational scales. Environmental Research Letters, 12(6): 064008. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa723b
Zhang D, Zang G, Li J, Ma K and Liu H 2018. Prediction of soybean price in China using QR-RBF neural network model. Computers and Electronics in Agriculture, 154: 10-17. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compag.2018.08.016
Zhao C 2017. Temperature increase reduces global yields of major crops in four independent models. Nature Climate Change, 7(3): 220-225.
Zhu H, Li C and Gao C 2020. Applications of CRISPR-Cas in agriculture and plant biotechnology. Nature Reviews Molecular Cell Biology, 21(11): 661-677. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41580-020-00288-9
Zobayed SMA, Afreen F and Kozai T 2005. Temperature stress can alter the photosynthetic efficiency and secondary metabolite concentrations in St.John's wort. Plant Physiology and Biochemistry, 43(10-11): 977-984. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.plaphy.2005.07.013