Millets in India: Evaluating the Current Scenario, Emerging Trends,   Export Dynamics and Future Prospects

Kumari Sandeep; Ajit Sharma; Shilpa

doi:10.56093/jisas.v79i01.171471

Authors

Kumari Sandeep Dr. Yashwant Singh Parmar University of Horticulture and Forestry, Nauni, Solan
Ajit Sharma Dr. Yashwant Singh Parmar University of Horticulture and Forestry, Nauni, Solan
Shilpa Dr. Yashwant Singh Parmar University of Horticulture and Forestry, Nauni, Solan

https://doi.org/10.56093/jisas.v79i01.171471

Keywords:

Millets; Markov chain model; Millet trade; Growth rate etc.

Abstract

This study explores the evolving trends and future prospects of millets globally and within India, while also shedding light on the export dynamics of millets from India to importing countries. Globally, millet production has significantly declined from 1961 to 2022, with Asia remaining the primary contributor despite diminishing trends. In contrast, Africa has experienced growth in production due to expanded cultivation areas. In India, between 2000 and 2022, the cultivation area for small millets, jowar, bajra and ragi consistently declined, with compound annual growth rates (CAGR) of -5.60 per cent, -4.30 per cent, -1.70 per cent and -2.20 per cent, respectively. While the production of small millets and jowar experienced a decline, bajra production exhibited modest growth, increasing at an average rate of 1.6 per cent per annum. Nevertheless, productivity for these millets has improved, indicating better yields. Markov chain analysis highlights Bangladesh as the most reliable importer of Indian millet, maintaining a 96.85 per cent share, followed by the UAE at 51.29 per cent. Despite ongoing promotional efforts, significant challenges continue to hinder millet cultivation. This study underscores the need for strategic enhancements in export markets, productivity improvements and comprehensive outreach
initiatives. By raising awareness and engaging consumers, the study aims to support the revival of millet cultivation and boost its trade in India.

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