Assessment of larval population and damage potential of fall armyworm(Spodoptera frugiperda) in maize (Zea mays) ecosystem
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Keywords:
Correlation, Larval population, Leaf damage, PCA, Weather variablesAbstract
A study was carried out to assess the larval incidence and leaf damage potential of fall armyworm, Spodoptera frugiperda (J E Smith) in maize (Zea mays L.) agroecosystem during rainy (kharif) season of 2022 and 2023 at Banda district of Uttar Pradesh. The larval population first appeared in 33rd standard meteorological week (SMW), with initial counts of 0.10 and 0.28 larvae/plant in 2022 and 2023, respectively. The population peaked at 6.92 larvae/plant in 38th SMW during 2022 and 4.83 larvae/plant in 37th SMW during 2023. The leaf damage was also varied from 0.37–60.16% in 2022 and from 4.69–58.14% in 2023. Correlation analysis indicated a strong positive correlation between larval population and leaf damage, both influenced by abiotic weather parameters. In 2022, only rainfall
showed a significant positive correlation with larval population. In contrast, during 2023, both larval population and leaf damage showed significant positive correlations with minimum temperature, maximum relative humidity and minimum relative humidity. Principal component analysis suggested that higher rainfall and relative humidity favour greater population growth and leaf damage in 2023 compared to 2022. The results of the regression analysis revealed that weather variables were more influenced in 2022 (R2 = 58.7) than 2023 (R2 = 41.5), showed 58.70% variability in fall armyworm larval population, where maximum temperature was most significant constant. Besides, other factors might also be responsible for a weaker model in 2023.
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