Soil and weather based yield prediction model for rainfed areas

ANIL SHARMA; SANJAY ARORA; VIKAS SHARMA; VIVAK M ARYA; S K SHARMA

doi:10.56093/ijas.v89i5.89683

Authors

ANIL SHARMA ICAR-Central Institute of Temperate Horticulture, Srinagar.
SANJAY ARORA Principal Scientist, ICAR-Central Soil Salinity Research Institute, Regional Research Station, Lucknow
VIKAS SHARMA Sher-e-Kashmir University of Agricultural Sciences and Technology of Jammu
VIVAK M ARYA Sher-e-Kashmir University of Agricultural Sciences and Technology of Jammu
S K SHARMA Maharana Pratap University of Agriculture and Technology, Udaipur.

https://doi.org/10.56093/ijas.v89i5.89683

Keywords:

Maize, Rainfed agriculture, Relative Production Efficiency Index, Wheat, Yield prediction

Abstract

Yield Predictor for Rainfed Areas (YPRA) is a desktop based software application developed in VB.NET programming language using Microsoft Visual Studio 2008 IDE with user friendly and self defining menus. This YPRA is the positive modification and conversion of â€˜RPEI (Relative Production Efficiency Index) based yield prediction conceptâ€™ into a â€˜user-friendly software applicationâ€™. The RPEI is governed by various easily determinable physiographic, soil physico-chemical, biological and climatic parameters. The yields predicted through YPRA will help in promoting climate resilient agriculture by scheming proper crop contingency planning to meet abrupt weather conditions. This software application can predict yield of one single location as well as multiple locations. The per cent contribution of each parameter can be depicted graphically also. The YPRA was calibrated and validated for four locations representing four states of north-west India. On comparing the predicted yield and observed yield, a prediction variation of 0.01 to 6.1% for maize and 3.0 to 9.61% for wheat crop was observed which is quite acceptable keeping in view the diverse physiographic, climatic and soil conditions in these locations.

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