Trend analysis in all-India mackerel catches using ARIMA models


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Authors

  • A Noble Central Marine Fisheries Research Institute, Cochin, Kerala 682 031
  • T V Sathianandan Central Marine Fisheries Research Institute, Cochin, Kerala 682 031

Abstract

Annual mackerel landings in India seem lo exhibit a 10-year cycle in long-term fluctuations. To find
a suitable forecasting model for it, the annual catch data from 1950 lo 1989 were studied following Box-
Jenkins method for lime series analysis, and ARIMA (1,0,0), was identified as the suitable one. Catch
predictions by this also hinted at 10-year cycle but seemed to lack seasonal term.

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Author Biographies

  • A Noble, Central Marine Fisheries Research Institute, Cochin, Kerala 682 031
    Central Marine Fisheries Research Institute, Cochin, Kerala 682 031
  • T V Sathianandan, Central Marine Fisheries Research Institute, Cochin, Kerala 682 031
    Central Marine Fisheries Research Institute, Cochin, Kerala 682 031

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Issue

Vol. 38 No. 2 (1991)

Section

Articles

License

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How to Cite

Noble, A., & Sathianandan, T. V. (2011). Trend analysis in all-India mackerel catches using ARIMA models. Indian Journal of Fisheries, 38(2), 119-122. https://epubs.icar.org.in/index.php/IJF/article/view/10324