Trend Analysis of Rainfall and Air Temperature in Andaman & Nicobar Islands, India


845 / 238

Authors

  • SIRISHA ADAMALA ICAR-Central Island Agricultural Research Institute, Port Blair - 744 105, Andaman and Nicobar Islands, India
  • A VELMURUGAN ICAR-Central Island Agricultural Research Institute, Port Blair - 744 105, Andaman and Nicobar Islands, India

Keywords:

Climate change, Coastal region, Island, Mann-Kendall test, Trend analysis

Abstract

Andaman and Nicobar Islands of India by its location in the Andaman Sea to the East and the Bay of Bengal to the West are one of the most vulnerable zones to climate change. Temporal trends of weather parameters such as rainfall and air temperature of Port Blair (11°40'0.01" N Latitude, 92°45'0" E Longitude and elevation 16 m above mean sea level) representing Andaman and Nicobar Islands were analysed by non-parametric modified Mann-Kendall and Sen's slope methods. Long term monthly rainfall and air temperature data of (1949-2019) was used to detect a trend. The results from trend analysis indicated that Port Blair receives a mean annual rainfall of 3079.1 mm (±487.3 mm) with a considerable variation (CV = 15.8%). The results revealed that total annual rainfall decreased nonsignificantly at the rate of 0.195 mm yr-1. On an average 150 rainy days in a year were recorded in the region, whereas during the last ten years (2010-2019), the number of rainy days was reduced to 143 days. There was a significant increase in maximum, minimum and mean temperature of the region at the rate of 0.009, 0.015, and 0.012°C yr-1, respectively. This kind of information on long term trends of rainfall and temperatures are useful in evolving climate-resilient agricultural and water conservation plan for that region.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Anonymous. (2013). A&N Islands Action Plan on Climate Change. http://moef.gov.in/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/Andaman-and-Nicobar.pdf.

Balaji, S., Iqbal, V., Bhat, G. R. and Balakrishna. (2015). Delineation of Sea water intrusion in coastal aquifers of parts of South Andaman Island using geophysical technique. Proceedings Workshop under Jal Kranti Abhiyan 2015-16 on "Water Security and Water Quality", Central Island Agricultural Research Institute, Andaman & Nicobar Islands, Port Blair, India. pp 70-87.

Desai, S., Singh, D. K., Islam, A., Sarangi, A. and Khanna, M. (2019). Trend analysis of climatic variables in Betwa river basin. Indian Journal of Agricultural Sciences 89(6): 1033-1038.

IPCC (2001). The Economics of Climate Change, Cambridge University, Published by the Authority of the House of Lords, The Stationery Office Limited, London. 84 p.

IPCC. (2007). Climate Change 2007: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Core Writing Team, R. K. Pachauri and A. Reisinger (eds.), IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland. 104 p.

Kale, G. D. (2020). Trend analyses of regional time series of temperatures and rainfall of the Tapi basin. Journal of Agrometeorology 22(1): 48-51.

Kendall, M.G. (1975). Rank Correlation Methods, 4th edition, Charles Griffin, London, U. K. 202 p.

Kisi, O. and Ay, M. (2014). Comparison of Mann-Kendall and innovative trend method for water quality parameters of the Kizilirmak River, Turkey. Journal of Hydrology 513: 362-375.

Lunagaria, M. M., Pandey, V. and Patel, H. R. (2012). Climatic trends in Gujarat and its likely impact on different crops. Journal of Agrometeorology 14(1): 41-44.

Mandal, U. K., Nayak, D. B., Mullick, S., Samui, A., Jana, A. K., Mahanta, K. K. and Burman, D. (2019). Trend analysis of weather parameters over Indian Sundarbans. Journal of Agrometeorology 21(3): 307-315.

Mann, H. B. (1945). Nonparametric tests against trend. Econometrica 13: 245-259.

McCarthy, J. J., Canziani, O. F., Leary, A., Dokken, D. J. and White, K. S. (2001). Climate change: Impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, U. K. pp. 844-875.

Pandey, C. B. and Singh, L. (2009). Soil fertility under home garden trees and native moist evergreen forest in South Andaman, India. Journal of Sustainable Agriculture 33: 303-318.

Prabhakar, A. K., Singh, K. K., Lohani, A. K. and Chandniha, S. K. (2017). Long term rainfall variability assessment using modified Mann-Kendall test over Champua watershed, Odisha. Journal of Agrometeorology 17(2): 288-289.

Reddy, C. S., Satish, K. V., Pasha, S. V., Jha, C. S. and Dadhwal, V. K. (2016). Assessment and monitoring of deforestation and land-use changes (1976–2014) in Andaman and Nicobar Islands, India using remote sensing and GIS. Current Science 111(9): 1492-1499.

Roy, S. D. and Sankar, K. R. (2014). Impacts of climate change and sea level rise on biodiversity and livelihood of Andaman and Nicobar Islands. http://www.upsbdb.org/pdf/Souvenir2014/ch-2.pdf

Sahoo, A. K., Das, K., Das, A. L., Obi Reddy, G. P., Singh, S. K., Sarkar, D. and Mishra, P. K. (2013). Soil erosion of Andaman & Nicobar Islands. NBSS Publ. No. 165, NBSS & LUP (ICAR), Nagpur, India. 30 p.

Sen, P. K. (1968). Estimates of the regression coefficient based on Kendall's tau. Journal of the American Statistical Association 63: 1379-1389.

Shankar, S. and Dharanirajan (2018). A study on the drainage morphometry of the strategic Kalpong river watershed, North Andaman, India using geographic information system. Indian Journal of Geo Marine Sciences 47(01): 185-192.

Velmurugan, A., Dam Roy, S., Krishnan, P., Swarnam, T. P., Jaisankar, I., Singh, A. K. and Biswas, T. K. (2015). Climate change and Nicobar Islands: Impacts and adaptation strategies. Journal of Andaman Science Association 20(1): 7-18.

Waghaye, A. M., Rajwade, Y. A., Randhe, R. D. and Kumari, N. (2018). Trend analysis and change point detection of rainfall of Andhra Pradesh and Telangana, India. Journal of Agrometeorology 20(2): 160-163.

Yadav, R., Tripathi, S. K., Pranuthi, G. and Dubey, S. K. (2014). Trend analysis by Mann-Kendall test for precipitation and temperature for thirteen districts of Uttarakhand. Journal of Agrometeorology 16(2): 166-171.

Yue, S., Pilon, P., Phinney, B. and Cavadias, G. (2002). The influence of autocorrelation on the ability to detect trend in hydrological series. Hydrological Processes 16: 1807-1829.

Downloads

Submitted

2020-03-21

Published

2020-12-04

Issue

Section

Articles

How to Cite

ADAMALA, S., & VELMURUGAN, A. (2020). Trend Analysis of Rainfall and Air Temperature in Andaman & Nicobar Islands, India. Journal of the Indian Society of Coastal Agricultural Research, 38(2), 95-103. https://epubs.icar.org.in/index.php/JISCAR/article/view/99305