DETERMINANTS OF INSTABILITY IN RICE PRODUCTION: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FROM UTTAR PRADESH
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Authors
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SHOAIB ANSARI*, SAGHIR AHMAD ANSARI AND ALFISHAN REHMAT
Department of Agricultural Economics and Business Management, Aligarh Muslim University, Aligarh- 202 002
Keywords:
ARDL, ECM, Instability, Irrigation, Rice ProductionAbstract
This research examined the determinants of the instability in rice production, which enhances
the total rice productivity in Uttar Pradesh. The study analysed the relations among variables used
for the analysis from 1991 to2019.The application of the Auto Regressive Distributed Lag technique
(ARDL )was used to approximate various determinants. The area under net irrigation, un-irrigation,
and rainfall positively affect rice production. In contrast,un-irrigation and annual rainfall showed a
positive but statistically insignificant impact on rice production in the long run. While in the short run,
all determinants had a negative and significant effect on total rice production convergence towards
in-equilibrium, shown by the error correction term - 0.42.
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